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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

51%

Southampton

1.95

26%

Draw

3.88

23%

Millwall

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.67

1.02

Millwall xG

51%
26%
23%
SouthamptonDrawMillwall

1.95

51%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

36%

Southampton

2.78

19%

Millwall

5.20

Win to Nil

18%

Southampton

5.43

4%

Millwall

22.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.1 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.4 11.7 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.6 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.2 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.648
λ Away (xG) 1.024
Total xG 2.672
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.151
Southampton attack strength 1.067
Southampton defence strength 1.023
Millwall attack strength 0.869
Millwall defence strength 1.135
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 70