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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 25 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leicester Win

34%

Southampton

2.93

29%

Draw

3.49

37%

Leicester

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.37

1.22

Leicester xG

34%
29%
37%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester

2.93

34%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

30%

Southampton

3.37

32%

Leicester

3.17

Win to Nil

10%

Southampton

9.87

12%

Leicester

8.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 11.4 6.9 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.8 13.1 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.2 7.6 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.153
λ Away (xG) 1.215
Total xG 2.368
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.227
Southampton attack strength 0.817
Southampton defence strength 1.042
Leicester attack strength 0.950
Leicester defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 16