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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

12:30

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

36%

Southampton

2.82

23%

Draw

4.26

41%

Coventry

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Southampton xG

Total xG

3.38

1.75

Coventry xG

36%
23%
41%
SouthamptonDrawCoventry

2.82

36%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.01

Clean Sheet

17%

Southampton

5.78

20%

Coventry

5.06

Win to Nil

6%

Southampton

16.27

8%

Coventry

12.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 6.0 5.3 3.1 1.3 0.5
1 5.5 9.7 8.5 5.0 2.2 0.8
2 4.5 7.9 6.9 4.0 1.8 0.6
3 2.4 4.3 3.7 2.2 1.0 0.3
4 1.0 1.7 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.622
λ Away (xG) 1.754
Total xG 3.376
League avg home goals 1.392
League avg away goals 1.215
Southampton attack strength 1.115
Southampton defence strength 1.032
Coventry attack strength 1.399
Coventry defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 67