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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Tue 14 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

51%

Southampton

1.95

30%

Draw

3.29

18%

Blackburn

5.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.21

0.77

Blackburn xG

51%
30%
18%
SouthamptonDrawBlackburn

1.95

51%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

5.44

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

46%

Southampton

2.16

24%

Blackburn

4.21

Win to Nil

24%

Southampton

4.22

4%

Blackburn

22.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 8.5 3.3 0.8 0.2
1 15.8 12.2 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.4 8.8 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 5.4 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 1.5 0.6 0.1
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.438
λ Away (xG) 0.771
Total xG 2.209
League avg home goals 1.266
League avg away goals 1.176
Southampton attack strength 1.160
Southampton defence strength 0.757
Blackburn attack strength 0.865
Blackburn defence strength 0.979
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 88