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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 15 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Hillsborough

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Derby Win

15%

Sheffield Wednesday

6.76

21%

Draw

4.81

64%

Derby

1.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

11.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Sheffield Wednesday xG

Total xG

2.98

2.08

Derby xG

15%
21%
64%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby

6.76

15%

Home win

4.81

21%

Draw

1.55

64%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

12%

Sheffield Wednesday

8.02

41%

Derby

2.44

Win to Nil

2%

Sheffield Wednesday

54.23

26%

Derby

3.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 10.6 11.1 7.7 4.0 1.7
1 4.6 9.5 9.9 6.9 3.6 1.5
2 2.0 4.2 4.4 3.1 1.6 0.7
3 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.2
4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.894
λ Away (xG) 2.082
Total xG 2.976
League avg home goals 1.393
League avg away goals 1.209
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 0.658
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 1.537
Derby attack strength 1.121
Derby defence strength 0.976
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 66