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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Promotion Play-offs - Final

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

15:01

Venue

Wembley Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sheffield Utd Win

41%

Sheffield Utd

2.43

30%

Draw

3.34

29%

Sunderland

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Sheffield Utd xG

Total xG

2.07

0.92

Sunderland xG

41%
30%
29%
Sheffield UtdDrawSunderland

2.43

41%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.44

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

40%

Sheffield Utd

2.50

32%

Sunderland

3.16

Win to Nil

16%

Sheffield Utd

6.07

9%

Sunderland

10.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.7 11.6 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 13.3 6.1 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.2
3 3.2 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.152
λ Away (xG) 0.915
Total xG 2.067
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.028
Sheffield Utd attack strength 0.949
Sheffield Utd defence strength 0.995
Sunderland attack strength 0.895
Sunderland defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 92