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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 24 Oct 2026

15:00

Venue

Bramall Lane

Competition

Championship

England

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Sheffield Utd Win

39%

Sheffield Utd

2.58

26%

Draw

3.87

35%

Derby

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Sheffield Utd xG

Total xG

3.20

1.56

Derby xG

39%
26%
35%
Sheffield UtdDrawDerby

2.58

39%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

21%

Sheffield Utd

4.75

19%

Derby

5.15

Win to Nil

8%

Sheffield Utd

12.26

7%

Derby

14.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.4 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 6.7 10.4 8.1 4.2 1.6 0.5
2 5.5 8.6 6.7 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 3.0 4.7 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.639
λ Away (xG) 1.559
Total xG 3.198
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 1.215
Sheffield Utd attack strength 1.108
Sheffield Utd defence strength 1.154
Derby attack strength 1.112
Derby defence strength 1.040
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46