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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

MATRADE Loftus Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

QPR Win

52%

QPR

1.92

25%

Draw

4.04

23%

Derby

4.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

QPR xG

Total xG

2.63

1.00

Derby xG

52%
25%
23%
QPRDrawDerby

1.92

52%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.30

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

37%

QPR

2.72

20%

Derby

5.09

Win to Nil

19%

QPR

5.23

5%

Derby

21.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.2 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 11.8 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.6 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.2 5.2 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.1 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.627
λ Away (xG) 1.001
Total xG 2.628
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.040
QPR attack strength 1.031
QPR defence strength 1.142
Derby attack strength 0.842
Derby defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 32