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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Deepdale

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Preston Win

59%

Preston

1.68

26%

Draw

3.89

15%

Birmingham

6.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Preston xG

Total xG

2.21

0.64

Birmingham xG

59%
26%
15%
PrestonDrawBirmingham

1.68

59%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

6.75

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.65

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

53%

Preston

1.90

21%

Birmingham

4.78

Win to Nil

31%

Preston

3.19

3%

Birmingham

32.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 7.1 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 17.2 11.0 3.5 0.8 0.1
2 13.5 8.6 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 7.0 4.5 1.4 0.3
4 2.8 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 0.641
Total xG 2.206
League avg home goals 1.214
League avg away goals 1.150
Preston attack strength 1.052
Preston defence strength 0.814
Birmingham attack strength 0.685
Birmingham defence strength 1.226
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 10