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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Wed 1 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

39%

Portsmouth

2.57

33%

Draw

3.05

28%

Watford

3.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

1.95

0.87

Watford xG

39%
33%
28%
PortsmouthDrawWatford

2.57

39%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

3.54

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

42%

Portsmouth

2.40

34%

Watford

2.94

Win to Nil

16%

Portsmouth

6.15

10%

Watford

10.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2 12.4 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.3 13.4 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 8.3 7.2 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.0 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.078
λ Away (xG) 0.874
Total xG 1.952
League avg home goals 1.231
League avg away goals 1.160
Portsmouth attack strength 0.875
Portsmouth defence strength 0.990
Watford attack strength 0.761
Watford defence strength 1.001
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53