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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

48%

Portsmouth

2.07

26%

Draw

3.88

26%

Watford

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.55

1.04

Watford xG

48%
26%
26%
PortsmouthDrawWatford

2.07

48%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

35%

Portsmouth

2.83

22%

Watford

4.54

Win to Nil

17%

Portsmouth

5.86

6%

Watford

17.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.1 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.8 12.2 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.514
λ Away (xG) 1.039
Total xG 2.553
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.000
Portsmouth attack strength 1.064
Portsmouth defence strength 1.018
Watford attack strength 1.020
Watford defence strength 1.108
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 89