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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

50%

Portsmouth

2.02

29%

Draw

3.47

22%

QPR

4.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.12

0.78

QPR xG

50%
29%
22%
PortsmouthDrawQPR

2.02

50%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

4.65

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

46%

Portsmouth

2.19

26%

QPR

3.82

Win to Nil

23%

Portsmouth

4.41

6%

QPR

17.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 9.4 3.7 1.0 0.2
1 16.1 12.6 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 10.7 8.4 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.339
λ Away (xG) 0.782
Total xG 2.121
League avg home goals 1.344
League avg away goals 1.030
Portsmouth attack strength 1.110
Portsmouth defence strength 0.922
QPR attack strength 0.824
QPR defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 79