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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

39%

Portsmouth

2.55

29%

Draw

3.47

32%

Millwall

3.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.22

1.04

Millwall xG

39%
29%
32%
PortsmouthDrawMillwall

2.55

39%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.12

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

35%

Portsmouth

2.83

31%

Millwall

3.27

Win to Nil

14%

Portsmouth

7.23

10%

Millwall

10.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 11.2 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.3 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.6 7.9 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.184
λ Away (xG) 1.041
Total xG 2.225
League avg home goals 1.251
League avg away goals 1.202
Portsmouth attack strength 0.782
Portsmouth defence strength 0.928
Millwall attack strength 0.933
Millwall defence strength 1.211
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61