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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Tue 28 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

47%

Portsmouth

2.12

30%

Draw

3.30

23%

Millwall

4.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.16

0.83

Millwall xG

47%
30%
23%
PortsmouthDrawMillwall

2.12

47%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

4.44

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

43%

Portsmouth

2.30

27%

Millwall

3.76

Win to Nil

20%

Portsmouth

4.88

6%

Millwall

16.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.6 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 15.3 12.8 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.1 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.5 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.324
λ Away (xG) 0.833
Total xG 2.157
League avg home goals 1.381
League avg away goals 1.036
Portsmouth attack strength 1.265
Portsmouth defence strength 0.960
Millwall attack strength 0.838
Millwall defence strength 0.758
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 74