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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

29%

Portsmouth

3.46

27%

Draw

3.64

44%

Middlesbrough

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.68

1.50

Middlesbrough xG

29%
27%
44%
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough

3.46

29%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

22%

Portsmouth

4.49

31%

Middlesbrough

3.26

Win to Nil

6%

Portsmouth

15.53

13%

Middlesbrough

7.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 10.3 7.7 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 8.1 12.1 9.1 4.6 1.7 0.5
2 4.8 7.2 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.9 2.8 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.182
λ Away (xG) 1.502
Total xG 2.684
League avg home goals 1.189
League avg away goals 1.183
Portsmouth attack strength 0.966
Portsmouth defence strength 1.083
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.173
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.029
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54