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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Portsmouth Win

42%

Portsmouth

2.37

25%

Draw

3.96

33%

Middlesbrough

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

3.22

1.50

Middlesbrough xG

42%
25%
33%
PortsmouthDrawMiddlesbrough

2.37

42%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

22%

Portsmouth

4.47

18%

Middlesbrough

5.61

Win to Nil

9%

Portsmouth

10.59

6%

Middlesbrough

17.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.0 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.3
1 6.9 10.3 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.9 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.4 5.1 3.8 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.724
λ Away (xG) 1.497
Total xG 3.221
League avg home goals 1.387
League avg away goals 1.002
Portsmouth attack strength 1.172
Portsmouth defence strength 0.968
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.544
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 72