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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

12:00

Venue

Fratton Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leeds Win

29%

Portsmouth

3.45

27%

Draw

3.68

44%

Leeds

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Portsmouth xG

Total xG

2.55

1.43

Leeds xG

29%
27%
44%
PortsmouthDrawLeeds

3.45

29%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

24%

Portsmouth

4.20

33%

Leeds

3.06

Win to Nil

7%

Portsmouth

14.47

14%

Leeds

6.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 11.2 8.0 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.7 12.5 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.9 7.0 5.0 2.4 0.9 0.2
3 1.8 2.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.118
λ Away (xG) 1.434
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.036
Portsmouth attack strength 1.133
Portsmouth defence strength 0.933
Leeds attack strength 1.484
Leeds defence strength 0.735
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 81