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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Home Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

29%

Plymouth

3.51

23%

Draw

4.28

48%

Middlesbrough

2.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Plymouth xG

Total xG

3.71

2.10

Middlesbrough xG

29%
23%
48%
PlymouthDrawMiddlesbrough

3.51

29%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

2.08

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.40

29%

BTTS No

3.49

Clean Sheet

12%

Plymouth

8.17

20%

Middlesbrough

4.98

Win to Nil

3%

Plymouth

28.63

10%

Middlesbrough

10.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 5.2 5.4 3.8 2.0 0.8
1 3.9 8.3 8.7 6.1 3.2 1.3
2 3.2 6.7 7.0 4.9 2.6 1.1
3 1.7 3.6 3.7 2.6 1.4 0.6
4 0.7 1.4 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2
5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.606
λ Away (xG) 2.100
Total xG 3.706
League avg home goals 1.378
League avg away goals 1.027
Plymouth attack strength 1.085
Plymouth defence strength 1.271
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.608
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.075
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67