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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

The Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

30%

Oxford United

3.37

25%

Draw

4.02

45%

Watford

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.89

1.62

Watford xG

30%
25%
45%
Oxford UnitedDrawWatford

3.37

30%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

2.20

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

20%

Oxford United

5.05

28%

Watford

3.55

Win to Nil

6%

Oxford United

17.02

13%

Watford

7.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 9.0 7.3 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.1 11.4 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.7
2 4.5 7.2 5.9 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 1.9 3.1 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.266
λ Away (xG) 1.620
Total xG 2.886
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.032
Oxford United attack strength 0.914
Oxford United defence strength 1.460
Watford attack strength 1.075
Watford defence strength 1.032
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 83