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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

43%

Oxford United

2.33

29%

Draw

3.42

28%

Swansea

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.41

1.05

Swansea xG

43%
29%
28%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea

2.33

43%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

35%

Oxford United

2.85

26%

Swansea

3.89

Win to Nil

15%

Oxford United

6.66

7%

Swansea

13.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 12.2 12.8 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.7 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.358
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.406
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.159
Oxford United attack strength 0.917
Oxford United defence strength 1.106
Swansea attack strength 0.818
Swansea defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69