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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Tue 4 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

38%

Oxford United

2.63

31%

Draw

3.28

31%

Stoke City

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.03

0.95

Stoke City xG

38%
31%
31%
Oxford UnitedDrawStoke City

2.63

38%

Home win

3.28

31%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

39%

Oxford United

2.59

34%

Stoke City

2.93

Win to Nil

15%

Oxford United

6.80

11%

Stoke City

9.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 12.5 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 14.2 13.5 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.6 7.3 3.4 1.1 0.3
3 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.076
λ Away (xG) 0.950
Total xG 2.026
League avg home goals 1.237
League avg away goals 1.164
Oxford United attack strength 0.966
Oxford United defence strength 1.030
Stoke City attack strength 0.792
Stoke City defence strength 0.901
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59