Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

37%

Oxford United

2.73

25%

Draw

4.07

39%

Southampton

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Oxford United xG

Total xG

3.27

1.66

Southampton xG

37%
25%
39%
Oxford UnitedDrawSouthampton

2.73

37%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.91

Clean Sheet

19%

Oxford United

5.27

20%

Southampton

5.01

Win to Nil

7%

Oxford United

14.37

8%

Southampton

12.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 6.3 5.2 2.9 1.2 0.4
1 6.1 10.1 8.4 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.2 6.8 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 2.6 4.4 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.3
4 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.612
λ Away (xG) 1.662
Total xG 3.274
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.165
Oxford United attack strength 0.882
Oxford United defence strength 1.155
Southampton attack strength 1.235
Southampton defence strength 1.307
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 22