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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

69%

Oxford United

1.45

20%

Draw

4.99

11%

Plymouth

8.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.27

Oxford United xG

Total xG

3.11

0.83

Plymouth xG

69%
20%
Oxford UnitedDrawPlymouth

1.45

69%

Home win

4.99

20%

Draw

8.98

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

43%

Oxford United

2.30

10%

Plymouth

9.72

Win to Nil

30%

Oxford United

3.35

1%

Plymouth

87.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.2 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 11.6 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 8.8 7.3 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 5.0 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.274
λ Away (xG) 0.834
Total xG 3.108
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.035
Oxford United attack strength 0.959
Oxford United defence strength 1.450
Plymouth attack strength 0.555
Plymouth defence strength 1.660
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 68