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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Tue 21 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

The Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

57%

Oxford United

1.77

25%

Draw

4.07

19%

Luton

5.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.87

1.00

Luton xG

57%
25%
19%
Oxford UnitedDrawLuton

1.77

57%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

5.29

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

37%

Oxford United

2.72

16%

Luton

6.45

Win to Nil

21%

Oxford United

4.81

3%

Luton

34.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 10.6 10.6 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.2 6.2 3.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.864
λ Away (xG) 1.001
Total xG 2.865
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 0.977
Oxford United attack strength 0.960
Oxford United defence strength 1.309
Luton attack strength 0.783
Luton defence strength 1.413
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 27