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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

37%

Oxford United

2.72

29%

Draw

3.48

35%

Cardiff

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.75

1.35

Cardiff xG

37%
29%
35%
Oxford UnitedDrawCardiff

2.72

37%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

2.90

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

26%

Oxford United

3.85

25%

Cardiff

4.04

Win to Nil

10%

Oxford United

10.48

9%

Cardiff

11.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.7 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 9.0 12.1 8.2 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 8.4 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.397
λ Away (xG) 1.349
Total xG 2.746
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.025
Oxford United attack strength 0.882
Oxford United defence strength 1.421
Cardiff attack strength 0.926
Cardiff defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 67