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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

34%

Oxford United

2.94

29%

Draw

3.41

37%

Bristol City

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Oxford United xG

Total xG

2.31

1.18

Bristol City xG

34%
29%
37%
Oxford UnitedDrawBristol City

2.94

34%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

31%

Oxford United

3.26

32%

Bristol City

3.09

Win to Nil

10%

Oxford United

9.59

12%

Bristol City

8.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.7 6.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.2 13.2 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.3 7.5 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.128
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 2.310
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.140
Oxford United attack strength 0.849
Oxford United defence strength 1.105
Bristol City attack strength 0.938
Bristol City defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 72