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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Kassam Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Oxford United Win

43%

Oxford United

2.31

33%

Draw

3.04

24%

Birmingham

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.4%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Oxford United xG

Total xG

1.96

0.80

Birmingham xG

43%
33%
24%
Oxford UnitedDrawBirmingham

2.31

43%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

45%

Oxford United

2.21

31%

Birmingham

3.22

Win to Nil

20%

Oxford United

5.11

7%

Birmingham

13.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 11.1 4.4 1.2 0.2
1 16.4 13.0 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 9.6 7.6 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.170
λ Away (xG) 0.795
Total xG 1.965
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.164
Oxford United attack strength 0.736
Oxford United defence strength 0.958
Birmingham attack strength 0.713
Birmingham defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 29