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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Mon 29 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

35%

Norwich

2.87

28%

Draw

3.60

37%

Watford

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Norwich xG

Total xG

2.70

1.38

Watford xG

35%
28%
37%
NorwichDrawWatford

2.87

35%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

25%

Norwich

3.97

27%

Watford

3.75

Win to Nil

9%

Norwich

11.40

10%

Watford

10.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 9.3 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.9 12.2 8.4 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.9 8.1 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.6 3.6 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 1.378
Total xG 2.699
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.159
Norwich attack strength 0.890
Norwich defence strength 1.093
Watford attack strength 1.088
Watford defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69