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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

12:30

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

33%

Norwich

3.03

23%

Draw

4.33

44%

Southampton

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Norwich xG

Total xG

3.46

1.86

Southampton xG

33%
23%
44%
NorwichDrawSouthampton

3.03

33%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.11

Clean Sheet

16%

Norwich

6.44

20%

Southampton

4.95

Win to Nil

5%

Norwich

19.50

9%

Southampton

11.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 5.8 5.4 3.4 1.6 0.6
1 5.0 9.3 8.7 5.4 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.5 7.0 4.3 2.0 0.7
3 2.1 4.0 3.7 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.599
λ Away (xG) 1.863
Total xG 3.462
League avg home goals 1.376
League avg away goals 1.205
Norwich attack strength 0.894
Norwich defence strength 1.216
Southampton attack strength 1.272
Southampton defence strength 1.300
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 20