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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

50%

Norwich

1.99

24%

Draw

4.14

25%

Millwall

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Norwich xG

Total xG

2.80

1.12

Millwall xG

50%
24%
25%
NorwichDrawMillwall

1.99

50%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.92

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

32%

Norwich

3.08

19%

Millwall

5.37

Win to Nil

16%

Norwich

6.11

5%

Millwall

21.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 6.8 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.2 11.4 6.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.8 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.680
λ Away (xG) 1.124
Total xG 2.804
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 0.985
Norwich attack strength 1.211
Norwich defence strength 1.173
Millwall attack strength 0.973
Millwall defence strength 1.048
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46