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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

52%

Norwich

1.92

27%

Draw

3.71

21%

Millwall

4.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Norwich xG

Total xG

2.72

1.02

Millwall xG

52%
27%
21%
NorwichDrawMillwall

1.92

52%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

4.75

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

36%

Norwich

2.76

18%

Millwall

5.49

Win to Nil

19%

Norwich

5.31

4%

Millwall

26.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.7 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.2 11.4 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.703
λ Away (xG) 1.016
Total xG 2.719
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.025
Norwich attack strength 1.480
Norwich defence strength 1.282
Millwall attack strength 0.774
Millwall defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 67