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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

30%

Norwich

3.32

24%

Draw

4.13

46%

Middlesbrough

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Norwich xG

Total xG

2.95

1.65

Middlesbrough xG

30%
24%
46%
NorwichDrawMiddlesbrough

3.32

30%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

19%

Norwich

5.22

27%

Middlesbrough

3.67

Win to Nil

6%

Norwich

17.31

12%

Middlesbrough

8.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 8.6 7.1 3.9 1.6 0.5
1 6.8 11.2 9.3 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.4 7.3 6.0 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 1.9 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.300
λ Away (xG) 1.652
Total xG 2.952
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.190
Norwich attack strength 1.156
Norwich defence strength 1.178
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.178
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48