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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Hull City cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Norwich.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Hull City beat Norwich 0-2 at Carrow Road, Regular Season - 13, in the Championship. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Norwich 1.36 xG and Hull City 1.61 xG, a combined 2.97. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Norwich fell 1.4 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Norwich attack 0.94 / defence 1.25 against Hull City attack 1.15 / defence 1.21, drawn from 58/58 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Norwich 32% | Draw 24% | Hull City 43%, with Hull City to win its most likely call at 43%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 57%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Norwich 52%, Hull City 40%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 60%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Norwich's trading profile (58 games, 28 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did not.

Hull City's trading profile (58 games, 28 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 55% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Norwich 1.12 PPG, Hull City 1.17 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Hull City win broke the near-deadlock. Norwich (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 2.00 scoring average — below par going forward. Hull City (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.29 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights