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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

59%

Norwich

1.68

21%

Draw

4.72

19%

Coventry

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

2 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.28

Norwich xG

Total xG

3.55

1.27

Coventry xG

59%
21%
19%
NorwichDrawCoventry

1.68

59%

Home win

4.72

21%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

28%

Norwich

3.55

10%

Coventry

9.80

Win to Nil

17%

Norwich

5.98

2%

Coventry

50.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.6 8.3 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 7.5 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.7 7.2 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 3.2 4.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.282
λ Away (xG) 1.267
Total xG 3.549
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.008
Norwich attack strength 1.476
Norwich defence strength 1.298
Coventry attack strength 0.968
Coventry defence strength 1.101
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71