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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Carrow Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Norwich Win

46%

Norwich

2.15

29%

Draw

3.40

24%

Birmingham

4.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Norwich xG

Total xG

2.30

0.93

Birmingham xG

46%
29%
24%
NorwichDrawBirmingham

2.15

46%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

4.14

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

40%

Norwich

2.52

25%

Birmingham

3.97

Win to Nil

18%

Norwich

5.43

6%

Birmingham

16.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 9.2 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.8 12.7 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.5 8.8 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.4 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.380
λ Away (xG) 0.925
Total xG 2.305
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.175
Norwich attack strength 0.937
Norwich defence strength 0.997
Birmingham attack strength 0.789
Birmingham defence strength 1.136
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 32