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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

45%

Millwall

2.22

27%

Draw

3.71

28%

Wrexham

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.43

1.04

Wrexham xG

45%
27%
28%
MillwallDrawWrexham

2.22

45%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

35%

Millwall

2.82

25%

Wrexham

4.01

Win to Nil

16%

Millwall

6.27

7%

Wrexham

14.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.7 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 8.8 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.390
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.427
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.137
Millwall attack strength 0.878
Millwall defence strength 1.102
Wrexham attack strength 0.828
Wrexham defence strength 1.236
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 3