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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Brom Win

19%

Millwall

5.14

29%

Draw

3.42

51%

West Brom

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.77

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.19

1.42

West Brom xG

19%
29%
51%
MillwallDrawWest Brom

5.14

19%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

24%

Millwall

4.12

46%

West Brom

2.17

Win to Nil

5%

Millwall

21.16

24%

West Brom

4.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 15.9 11.2 5.3 1.9 0.5
1 8.7 12.3 8.7 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 3.3 4.7 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2
3 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.773
λ Away (xG) 1.416
Total xG 2.189
League avg home goals 1.189
League avg away goals 1.183
Millwall attack strength 0.703
Millwall defence strength 1.205
West Brom attack strength 0.994
West Brom defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54