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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Mon 22 Sep 2025

20:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

31%

Millwall

3.26

30%

Draw

3.37

40%

Watford

2.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.12

1.15

Watford xG

31%
30%
40%
MillwallDrawWatford

3.26

31%

Home win

3.37

30%

Draw

2.52

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

32%

Millwall

3.15

38%

Watford

2.64

Win to Nil

10%

Millwall

10.26

15%

Watford

6.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 13.8 7.9 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.7 13.4 7.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 5.7 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.970
λ Away (xG) 1.146
Total xG 2.116
League avg home goals 1.233
League avg away goals 1.204
Millwall attack strength 0.774
Millwall defence strength 1.126
Watford attack strength 0.846
Watford defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51