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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

43%

Millwall

2.31

30%

Draw

3.30

26%

Swansea

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.14

0.90

Swansea xG

43%
30%
26%
MillwallDrawSwansea

2.31

43%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

40%

Millwall

2.47

29%

Swansea

3.44

Win to Nil

18%

Millwall

5.71

8%

Swansea

12.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 10.6 4.8 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.5 13.1 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.0 8.1 3.7 1.1 0.2
3 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.235
λ Away (xG) 0.904
Total xG 2.139
League avg home goals 1.385
League avg away goals 1.115
Millwall attack strength 0.906
Millwall defence strength 0.972
Swansea attack strength 0.834
Swansea defence strength 0.984
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71