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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

45%

Millwall

2.23

29%

Draw

3.44

26%

Swansea

3.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.12

0.87

Swansea xG

45%
29%
26%
MillwallDrawSwansea

2.23

45%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

3.84

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.41

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

42%

Millwall

2.40

29%

Swansea

3.48

Win to Nil

19%

Millwall

5.34

7%

Swansea

13.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 10.5 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 15.0 13.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.1 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 3.9 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.246
λ Away (xG) 0.874
Total xG 2.120
League avg home goals 1.313
League avg away goals 1.023
Millwall attack strength 0.914
Millwall defence strength 0.909
Swansea attack strength 0.940
Swansea defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90