🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Millwall Win
42%
2.37
29%
3.50
29%
3.42
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.7%
Home win
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.29
Millwall xG
Total xG
2.32
1.03
Stoke City xG
MillwallDrawStoke City
2.37
42%
Home win
3.50
29%
Draw
3.42
29%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.13
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
36%
2.79
27%
3.64
Win to Nil
15%
6.62
8%
12.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.8 | 10.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 13.1 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.291
λ Away (xG)
1.027
Total xG
2.318
League avg home goals
1.340
League avg away goals
1.035
Millwall attack strength
0.776
Millwall defence strength
1.033
Stoke City attack strength
0.961
Stoke City defence strength
1.242
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
83 / 83