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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Wed 11 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

36%

Millwall

2.80

34%

Draw

2.96

30%

Sheffield Utd

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.05

0.98

Sheffield Utd xG

36%
34%
30%
MillwallDrawSheffield Utd

2.80

36%

Home win

2.96

34%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

38%

Millwall

2.65

34%

Sheffield Utd

2.94

Win to Nil

13%

Millwall

7.43

10%

Sheffield Utd

9.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.8 12.5 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.8 13.5 6.6 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.4 7.3 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.077
λ Away (xG) 0.976
Total xG 2.053
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.034
Millwall attack strength 0.865
Millwall defence strength 0.856
Sheffield Utd attack strength 1.102
Sheffield Utd defence strength 0.931
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 19