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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

55%

Millwall

1.81

26%

Draw

3.92

19%

Portsmouth

5.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.36

0.80

Portsmouth xG

55%
26%
19%
MillwallDrawPortsmouth

1.81

55%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

5.17

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.30

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

45%

Millwall

2.23

21%

Portsmouth

4.73

Win to Nil

25%

Millwall

4.05

4%

Portsmouth

24.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 7.6 3.1 0.8 0.2
1 14.7 11.8 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.2 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.9 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.553
λ Away (xG) 0.803
Total xG 2.356
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.016
Millwall attack strength 0.779
Millwall defence strength 0.974
Portsmouth attack strength 0.811
Portsmouth defence strength 1.512
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 39