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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

13:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

62%

Millwall

1.62

26%

Draw

3.78

12%

Oxford United

8.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.9%

Home win

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.14

0.55

Oxford United xG

62%
26%
12%
MillwallDrawOxford United

1.62

62%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

8.62

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.88

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

58%

Millwall

1.73

20%

Oxford United

4.90

Win to Nil

36%

Millwall

2.80

2%

Oxford United

42.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 6.5 1.8 0.3
1 18.7 10.3 2.8 0.5 0.1
2 14.9 8.2 2.2 0.4 0.1
3 7.9 4.3 1.2 0.2
4 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.590
λ Away (xG) 0.550
Total xG 2.140
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 1.015
Millwall attack strength 0.797
Millwall defence strength 0.806
Oxford United attack strength 0.673
Oxford United defence strength 1.415
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 23