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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

45%

Millwall

2.24

30%

Draw

3.32

25%

Norwich

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.6%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.00

0.81

Norwich xG

45%
30%
25%
MillwallDrawNorwich

2.24

45%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

44%

Millwall

2.25

31%

Norwich

3.27

Win to Nil

20%

Millwall

5.05

8%

Norwich

12.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.6 11.0 4.5 1.2 0.2
1 16.1 13.1 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 9.5 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 3.8 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.185
λ Away (xG) 0.813
Total xG 1.998
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.000
Millwall attack strength 0.833
Millwall defence strength 0.899
Norwich attack strength 0.904
Norwich defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89