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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

44%

Millwall

2.28

27%

Draw

3.64

29%

Middlesbrough

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.37

1.03

Middlesbrough xG

44%
27%
29%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough

2.28

44%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

36%

Millwall

2.79

26%

Middlesbrough

3.82

Win to Nil

16%

Millwall

6.36

8%

Middlesbrough

13.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.6 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.9 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 2.367
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.122
Millwall attack strength 0.991
Millwall defence strength 0.910
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.005
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.016
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47