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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

32%

Millwall

3.14

28%

Draw

3.60

40%

Middlesbrough

2.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.36

1.27

Middlesbrough xG

32%
28%
40%
MillwallDrawMiddlesbrough

3.14

32%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.47

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

28%

Millwall

3.56

34%

Middlesbrough

2.98

Win to Nil

9%

Millwall

11.18

14%

Middlesbrough

7.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 12.0 7.6 3.2 1.0 0.3
1 10.3 13.1 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.6 7.1 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 2.1 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.093
λ Away (xG) 1.269
Total xG 2.362
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 0.991
Millwall attack strength 0.826
Millwall defence strength 1.005
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.275
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87