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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 17 Oct 2026

15:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

54%

Millwall

1.85

27%

Draw

3.77

20%

Lincoln

5.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.66

0.95

Lincoln xG

54%
27%
20%
MillwallDrawLincoln

1.85

54%

Home win

3.77

27%

Draw

5.12

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

39%

Millwall

2.58

18%

Lincoln

5.52

Win to Nil

21%

Millwall

4.79

4%

Lincoln

28.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.0 11.4 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.7 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 5.8 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.709
λ Away (xG) 0.949
Total xG 2.658
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 1.215
Millwall attack strength 1.045
Millwall defence strength 0.919
Lincoln attack strength 0.850
Lincoln defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 0