Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

13:00

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ipswich Win

36%

Millwall

2.75

27%

Draw

3.72

37%

Ipswich

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Millwall xG

Total xG

2.73

1.37

Ipswich xG

36%
27%
37%
MillwallDrawIpswich

2.75

36%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

25%

Millwall

3.94

26%

Ipswich

3.91

Win to Nil

9%

Millwall

10.81

9%

Ipswich

10.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.9 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.9 12.1 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.0 8.3 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.7 3.8 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.363
λ Away (xG) 1.370
Total xG 2.733
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.172
Millwall attack strength 0.913
Millwall defence strength 1.031
Ipswich attack strength 1.134
Ipswich defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 22