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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 10 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

The Den

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Millwall Win

40%

Millwall

2.49

27%

Draw

3.73

33%

Derby

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Millwall xG

Total xG

3.01

1.43

Derby xG

40%
27%
33%
MillwallDrawDerby

2.49

40%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

24%

Millwall

4.16

20%

Derby

4.88

Win to Nil

10%

Millwall

10.37

7%

Derby

14.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 7.0 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 7.8 11.1 7.9 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.8 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 3.3 4.7 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.585
λ Away (xG) 1.425
Total xG 3.010
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.217
Millwall attack strength 1.130
Millwall defence strength 0.978
Derby attack strength 1.198
Derby defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82